New York Mets
NYM • 2026 Season Prediction
2026 Outlook
🟢 Contender 50% playoff probabilityThe 2026 season looks to be a promising one for the New York Mets, who are poised to build upon their recent successes and cement their status as contenders in the National League. With a projected win total of 87 and a 50.5% playoff probability, the Mets have the potential to make some serious noise in the coming year.
At the heart of their lineup will be the dynamic duo of Juan Soto and Bo Bichette, who will look to anchor the offense with their impressive power and hitting prowess. Soto, in particular, has emerged as one of the league's premier sluggers, capable of launching 40+ home runs on an annual basis. Alongside them, Francisco Lindor and Jorge Polanco will provide valuable depth and veteran leadership, while up-and-coming star Brett Baty looks to continue his development and solidify his place in the starting nine.
On the mound, the Mets' pitching staff features a formidable trio in Freddy Peralta, Kodai Senga, and Clay Holmes. Peralta, with his electric stuff and pinpoint control, will lead the rotation, while Senga's nasty splitter and Holmes' dominant sinker will provide a potent 1-2 punch out of the bullpen. If these key players can stay healthy and deliver consistent performances, the Mets' postseason aspirations may very well come to fruition.
Strengths
Weaknesses
⚾ Kalshi Markets
View all →Will New York M win the 2026 Pro Baseball Championship?
KXMLB-26-NYM
Market Price
6¢
Model Prob
3.6%
Edge
-2.9%
Bid/Ask
6¢/7¢
Will New York M be the 2026 NL East Division Winner
KXMLBNLEAST-26-NYM
Market Price
36¢
Model Prob
21.2%
Edge
-15.3%
Bid/Ask
35¢/38¢
Pro Baseball Playoff Qualifiers
KXMLBPLAYOFFS-26-NYM
Market Price
70¢
Model Prob
50.5%
Edge
-19.0%
Bid/Ask
68¢/71¢
Will New York M win at least 105 games this season?
KXMLBWINS-NYM-26-T105
Market Price
28¢
Model Prob
1.4%
Edge
-26.6%
Bid/Ask
0¢/28¢
Will New York M win at least 75 games this season?
KXMLBWINS-NYM-26-T75
Market Price
75¢
Model Prob
93.7%
Edge
+18.6%
Bid/Ask
75¢/100¢
Will New York M win at least 95 games this season?
KXMLBWINS-NYM-26-T95
Market Price
35¢
Model Prob
17.0%
Edge
-18.0%
Bid/Ask
24¢/46¢
Will New York M win at least 100 games this season?
KXMLBWINS-NYM-26-T100
Market Price
24¢
Model Prob
5.8%
Edge
-17.8%
Bid/Ask
10¢/37¢
Will New York M win at least 90 games this season?
KXMLBWINS-NYM-26-T90
Market Price
54¢
Model Prob
36.9%
Edge
-17.1%
Bid/Ask
52¢/56¢
Will New York M win at least 85 games this season?
KXMLBWINS-NYM-26-T85
Market Price
75¢
Model Prob
61.2%
Edge
-13.8%
Bid/Ask
71¢/79¢
Will New York M win at least 80 games this season?
KXMLBWINS-NYM-26-T80
Market Price
68¢
Model Prob
81.8%
Edge
+13.8%
Bid/Ask
68¢/100¢
Predicted Wins
87
±0.2 standard deviation
Range: 86–87 wins (95% CI)
Kalshi Market Line
N/A
No market available
Edge vs Market
—
No edge calculation
Model Confidence
98%
Based on feature quality, historical accuracy, and prediction uncertainty