2026 MLB Season Win Predictions

Ensemble ML model trained on 12 years of data (2014-2025) with 43 predictive features

Generated: 2026-03-19T09:00:14.059548

ℹ️ About the Model

Total Teams

30

Training Samples

359

2014-2025 data

Features Used

43

WAR, splits, park factors +

Model Accuracy

±3.7

wins MAE (CV 2021-2024)

American League

AL East

New York Yankees
NYY
96
wins
Confidence: 88%
Boston Red Sox
BOS
91
wins
Confidence: 88%
Toronto Blue Jays
TOR
87
wins
Confidence: 88%
Tampa Bay Rays
TBR
84
wins
Confidence: 93%
Baltimore Orioles
BAL
73
wins
Confidence: 59%

AL Central

Detroit Tigers
DET
88
wins
Confidence: 96%
Kansas City Royals
KCR
84
wins
Confidence: 92%
Cleveland Guardians
CLE
81
wins
Confidence: 93%
Minnesota Twins
MIN
73
wins
Confidence: 73%
Chicago White Sox
CWS
70
wins
Confidence: 91%

AL West

Seattle Mariners
SEA
90
wins
Confidence: 94%
Texas Rangers
TEX
90
wins
Confidence: 92%
Houston Astros
HOU
84
wins
Confidence: 98%
Oakland Athletics
OAK
75
wins
Confidence: 93%
Los Angeles Angels
LAA
65
wins
Confidence: 97%

National League

NL East

Philadelphia Phillies
PHI
95
wins
Confidence: 91%
New York Mets
NYM
87
wins
Confidence: 98%
Atlanta Braves
ATL
82
wins
Confidence: 85%
Miami Marlins
MIA
71
wins
Confidence: 91%
Washington Nationals
WSN
62
wins
Confidence: 82%

NL Central

Milwaukee Brewers
MIL
97
wins
Confidence: 73%
Chicago Cubs
CHC
95
wins
Confidence: 81%
Cincinnati Reds
CIN
85
wins
Confidence: 99%
St. Louis Cardinals
STL
75
wins
Confidence: 91%
Pittsburgh Pirates
PIT
73
wins
Confidence: 97%

NL West

Los Angeles Dodgers
LAD
94
wins
Confidence: 89%
San Diego Padres
SDP
90
wins
Confidence: 96%
San Francisco Giants
SFG
84
wins
Confidence: 94%
Arizona Diamondbacks
ARI
82
wins
Confidence: 96%
Colorado Rockies
COL
52
wins
Confidence: 62%