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2026 Season
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Milwaukee Brewers

MIL • 2026 Season Prediction

HOLD

2026 Outlook

🟢 Contender 89% playoff probability

The Milwaukee Brewers are poised to be one of the National League's elite teams in 2026. With a projected 97-win season and an 89% probability of making the playoffs, this squad is firmly in the "contender" category.

The Brewers' roster is headlined by a talented young core, including outfielder Christian Yelich, who is coming off another impressive season at the plate. Joining him are rising stars like Brice Turang and Jackson Chourio, both of whom are expected to anchor the lineup and provide a potent mix of power and on-base ability. Behind the plate, William Contreras will look to build on his breakout 2025 campaign and provide a steady presence both offensively and defensively.

On the mound, the Brewers boast a formidable pitching staff led by the dynamic duo of Abner Uribe and Quinn Priester. Uribe, coming off a Cy Young-caliber season, will be tasked with leading the rotation, while the hard-throwing Priester and left-hander Aaron Ashby provide excellent complementary pieces. If this talented group can stay healthy and perform to their potential, the Brewers should have little trouble securing a postseason berth and making a deep run.

Strengths

Star power Depth

Weaknesses

Expectations Division

⚾ Kalshi Markets

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Will Milwaukee win the 2026 Pro Baseball Championship?

KXMLB-26-MIL

STRONG BUY

Market Price

Model Prob

8.8%

Edge

+6.3%

Bid/Ask

2¢/3¢

Will Milwaukee be the 2026 NL Central Division Winner

KXMLBNLCENT-26-MIL

STRONG BUY

Market Price

26¢

Model Prob

53.7%

Edge

+28.2%

Bid/Ask

25¢/26¢

Pro Baseball Playoff Qualifiers

KXMLBPLAYOFFS-26-MIL

STRONG BUY

Market Price

50¢

Model Prob

89.0%

Edge

+38.5%

Bid/Ask

50¢/51¢

Will Milwaukee win at least 90 games this season?

KXMLBWINS-MIL-26-T90

STRONG BUY

Market Price

38¢

Model Prob

81.3%

Edge

+42.8%

Bid/Ask

30¢/47¢

Will Milwaukee win at least 95 games this season?

KXMLBWINS-MIL-26-T95

STRONG BUY

Market Price

19¢

Model Prob

61.7%

Edge

+42.6%

Bid/Ask

3¢/35¢

Will Milwaukee win at least 85 games this season?

KXMLBWINS-MIL-26-T85

STRONG BUY

Market Price

56¢

Model Prob

93.1%

Edge

+37.6%

Bid/Ask

48¢/63¢

Will Milwaukee win at least 80 games this season?

KXMLBWINS-MIL-26-T80

STRONG BUY

Market Price

67¢

Model Prob

98.1%

Edge

+31.1%

Bid/Ask

57¢/77¢

Will Milwaukee win at least 75 games this season?

KXMLBWINS-MIL-26-T75

STRONG BUY

Market Price

74¢

Model Prob

99.6%

Edge

+25.6%

Bid/Ask

58¢/90¢

Will Milwaukee win at least 100 games this season?

KXMLBWINS-MIL-26-T100

STRONG BUY

Market Price

26¢

Model Prob

38.4%

Edge

+12.3%

Bid/Ask

0¢/26¢

Will Milwaukee win at least 105 games this season?

KXMLBWINS-MIL-26-T105

HOLD

Market Price

20¢

Model Prob

18.7%

Edge

-1.3%

Bid/Ask

0¢/20¢

Predicted Wins

97

±2.7 standard deviation

Range: 93–101 wins (95% CI)

Kalshi Market Line

N/A

No market available

Edge vs Market

No edge calculation

Model Confidence

73%

Based on feature quality, historical accuracy, and prediction uncertainty

Prediction Distribution